NFL Week 17 Predictions Picks, Scores & Best Bets

  1. Home
  2. Game Simulator
  3. Week 17 Predictions

2026 Season · Week 17

Every game projected from a 50-simulation head-to-head: the projected result and win probability, the market line, the game's top performers, and the matchup edges a team-stats model misses - who wins in the trenches, on the outside, and on the ground. Tap a game for the full breakdown.

‹
WK 1 WK 2 WK 3 WK 4 WK 5 WK 6 WK 7 WK 8 WK 9 WK 10 WK 11 WK 12 WK 13 WK 14 WK 15 WK 16 WK 17 WK 18
›

Thursday, Dec 31

Thu 8:15pm
PROJ
BLT logo BLT 68%
25
CIN logo CIN 32%
19
PASS Joe Burrow Joe Burrow292 pass yds, 1.5 TD
RUSH Derrick Henry Derrick Henry77 rush yds, 0.5 TD
REC Zay Flowers Zay Flowers5.2 rec, 78 yds, 0.5 TD
Sim Prediction: Ravens by 5.9
The model leans Ravens by 5.9, winning 68% of 50 sims (projected 25-19).
Chase Brown (Bengals) vs Marlon Humphrey (Ravens) - winner: Marlon Humphrey, holding him to 2.1 yds a carry - the front wins up front.
Zay Flowers (Ravens) vs DJ Turner II (Bengals) - winner: Zay Flowers, open on 61% of routes for 5.4/8.0, 57 yds a game - a problem the defense can't solve.
Full breakdown →

Sunday, Jan 3

Sun 12:00am
PROJ
WAS logo WAS 16%
11
JAX logo JAX 84%
22
PASS Trevor Lawrence Trevor Lawrence253 pass yds, 1.6 TD
RUSH Bhayshul Tuten Bhayshul Tuten57 rush yds, 0.3 TD
REC Parker Washington Parker Washington5.4 rec, 82 yds, 0.5 TD
Sim Prediction: Jaguars by 11.2
The sim sides with Jaguars: a 11.2-point edge and a 84% win rate over 50 runs (22-11).
Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders) vs Foyesade Oluokun (Jaguars) - winner: Foyesade Oluokun, holding him to 2.8 yds a carry - stuffed at the line.
Parker Washington (Jaguars) vs Rasul Douglas (Commanders) - winner: Parker Washington, open on 62% of routes for 7.1/8.7, 74 yds a game - a mismatch to exploit.
Full breakdown →
Sun 12:00am
PROJ
KC logo KC 70%
20
LAC logo LAC 30%
13
PASS Patrick Mahomes Patrick Mahomes223 pass yds, 1.2 TD
RUSH Kenneth Walker III Kenneth Walker III76 rush yds, 0.8 TD
REC Rashee Rice Rashee Rice5.5 rec, 69 yds, 0.2 TD
Sim Prediction: Chiefs by 7.1
Chiefs are the pick here, favoured by 7.1 and winning 70% of 50 sims (projected 20-13).
Kenneth Walker III (Chiefs) vs Derwin James Jr. (Chargers) - winner: Kenneth Walker III, 5.4 yds a carry - the back the defense can't corral.
Omarion Hampton (Chargers) vs Drue Tranquill (Chiefs) - winner: Drue Tranquill, holding him to 3.0 yds a carry - stuffed at the line.
Full breakdown →
Sun 12:00am
PROJ
DEN logo DEN 42%
16
NE logo NE 58%
20
PASS Drake Maye Drake Maye218 pass yds, 1.2 TD
RUSH J.K. Dobbins J.K. Dobbins60 rush yds, 0.2 TD
REC Jaylen Waddle Jaylen Waddle6.9 rec, 83 yds, 0.5 TD
Sim Prediction: Patriots by 4.5
Patriots are the pick here, favoured by 4.5 and winning 58% of 50 sims (projected 20-16).
Nik Bonitto (Broncos) vs Morgan Moses (Patriots) - winner: Nik Bonitto, winning 56% of reps for 2.9 sacks and 6.4 pressures a game - winning his reps all afternoon.
Courtland Sutton (Broncos) vs Carlton Davis III (Patriots) - winner: Carlton Davis III, holding him to 15 yds on just 38% open, 0.7 INT a game, - a read taken away.
Full breakdown →
Sun 12:00am
PROJ
LA logo LA 92%
30
TB logo TB 8%
13
PASS Matthew Stafford Matthew Stafford272 pass yds, 1.7 TD
RUSH Kyren Williams Kyren Williams68 rush yds, 1.0 TD
REC Davante Adams Davante Adams5.6 rec, 91 yds, 0.6 TD
Sim Prediction: Rams by 17.3
Run it 50 times and Rams win 92% of them, by 17.3 on average (30-13).
Emeka Egbuka (Buccaneers) vs Trent McDuffie (Rams) - winner: Trent McDuffie, holding him to 32 yds on just 33% open, 1.0 INT a game, - shut down all game.
Bucky Irving (Buccaneers) vs Kamren Curl (Rams) - winner: Kamren Curl, holding him to 2.6 yds a carry - no daylight all game.
Full breakdown →
Sun 1:00pm
PROJ
NO logo NO 10%
20
ATL logo ATL 90%
32
PASS Tyler Shough Tyler Shough315 pass yds, 2.0 TD
RUSH Bijan Robinson Bijan Robinson125 rush yds, 1.5 TD
REC Chris Olave Chris Olave7.3 rec, 105 yds, 0.6 TD
Sim Prediction: Falcons by 11.5
The model leans Falcons by 11.5, winning 90% of 50 sims (projected 32-20).
Bijan Robinson (Falcons) vs Julian Blackmon (Saints) - winner: Bijan Robinson, 7.4 yds a carry - the back the defense can't corral.
Alvin Kamara (Saints) vs Harold Perkins Jr. (Falcons) - winner: Harold Perkins Jr., holding him to 2.3 yds a carry - met in the backfield.
Full breakdown →
Sun 1:00pm
PROJ
SEA logo SEA 52%
21
CAR logo CAR 48%
19
PASS Bryce Young Bryce Young246 pass yds, 1.3 TD
RUSH Emanuel Wilson Emanuel Wilson46 rush yds, 0.1 TD
REC Jaxon Smith-Njigba Jaxon Smith-Njigba6.0 rec, 84 yds, 0.4 TD
Sim Prediction: Seahawks by 2.1
The model leans Seahawks by 2.1, winning 52% of 50 sims (projected 21-19).
Emanuel Wilson (Seahawks) vs Akayleb Evans (Panthers) - winner: Akayleb Evans, holding him to 3.1 yds a carry - stuffed at the line.
Chuba Hubbard (Panthers) vs Tyrice Knight (Seahawks) - winner: Tyrice Knight, holding him to 3.1 yds a carry - stuffed at the line.
Full breakdown →
Sun 1:00pm
PROJ
IND logo IND 52%
19
CLV logo CLV 48%
18
PASS Deshaun Watson Deshaun Watson228 pass yds, 1.1 TD
RUSH Jonathan Taylor Jonathan Taylor56 rush yds, 0.6 TD
REC Denzel Boston Denzel Boston5.8 rec, 93 yds, 0.4 TD
Sim Prediction: Colts by 0.7
Run it 50 times and Colts win 52% of them, by 0.7 on average (19-18).
Maliek Collins (Browns) vs Tanor Bortolini (Colts) - winner: Maliek Collins, winning 57% of reps for 2.0 sacks and 1.0 pressures a game - the disruptor that swings the pass game.
Full breakdown →
Sun 1:00pm
PROJ
NYG logo NYG 20%
17
DAL logo DAL 80%
25
PASS Dak Prescott Dak Prescott299 pass yds, 2.2 TD
RUSH Javonte Williams Javonte Williams59 rush yds, 0.6 TD
REC CeeDee Lamb CeeDee Lamb6.5 rec, 92 yds, 0.6 TD
Sim Prediction: Cowboys by 8.7
The model leans Cowboys by 8.7, winning 80% of 50 sims (projected 25-17).
Abdul Carter (Giants) vs Tyler Guyton (Cowboys) - winner: Abdul Carter, winning 57% of reps for 3.9 sacks and 9.8 pressures a game - he lives in the backfield.
Cam Skattebo (Giants) vs Caleb Downs (Cowboys) - winner: Caleb Downs, holding him to 2.2 yds a carry - nowhere to run.
Full breakdown →
Sun 1:00pm
PROJ
BUF logo BUF 74%
25
MIA logo MIA 26%
16
PASS Josh Allen Josh Allen226 pass yds, 1.6 TD
RUSH James Cook James Cook71 rush yds, 0.3 TD
REC DJ Moore DJ Moore6.0 rec, 91 yds, 0.7 TD
Sim Prediction: Bills by 9.1
Bills are the pick here, favoured by 9.1 and winning 74% of 50 sims (projected 25-16).
James Cook (Bills) vs Zayne Anderson (Dolphins) - winner: James Cook, 5.2 yds a carry - consistent push behind him.
Full breakdown →
Sun 1:00pm
PROJ
MIN logo MIN 44%
16
NYJ logo NYJ 56%
17
PASS Geno Smith Geno Smith208 pass yds, 1.0 TD
RUSH Breece Hall Breece Hall56 rush yds, 0.3 TD
REC Garrett Wilson Garrett Wilson5.5 rec, 62 yds, 0.2 TD
Sim Prediction: Jets by 0.4
The model leans Jets by 0.4, winning 56% of 50 sims (projected 17-16).
Aaron Jones (Vikings) vs Demario Davis (Jets) - winner: Demario Davis, holding him to 2.5 yds a carry - stuffed at the line.
Full breakdown →
Sun 1:00pm
PROJ
PIT logo PIT 92%
27
TEN logo TEN 8%
11
PASS Aaron Rodgers Aaron Rodgers239 pass yds, 1.5 TD
RUSH Jaylen Warren Jaylen Warren78 rush yds, 1.0 TD
REC D.K. Metcalf D.K. Metcalf5.9 rec, 78 yds, 0.4 TD
Sim Prediction: Steelers by 15.9
Run it 50 times and Steelers win 92% of them, by 15.9 on average (27-11).
Jaylen Warren (Steelers) vs Owen Pappoe (Titans) - winner: Jaylen Warren, 6.9 yds a carry - controls the line of scrimmage.
Tony Pollard (Titans) vs Asante Samuel Jr. (Steelers) - winner: Asante Samuel Jr., holding him to 2.3 yds a carry - nowhere to run.
Full breakdown →
Sun 4:05pm
PROJ
LV logo LV 48%
26
ARZ logo ARZ 52%
26
PASS Jacoby Brissett Jacoby Brissett310 pass yds, 2.3 TD
RUSH Ashton Jeanty Ashton Jeanty46 rush yds, 0.4 TD
REC Michael Wilson Michael Wilson8.9 rec, 118 yds, 0.8 TD
Sim Prediction: Raiders by 0.6
Run it 50 times and Raiders win 48% of them, by 0.6 on average (26-26).
Maxx Crosby (Raiders) vs Jayden Williams (Cardinals) - winner: Maxx Crosby, winning 56% of reps for 3.5 sacks and 7.9 pressures a game - he lives in the backfield.
Jeremiyah Love (Cardinals) vs Eric Stokes (Raiders) - winner: Eric Stokes, holding him to 3.0 yds a carry - stuffed at the line.
Full breakdown →
Sun 4:25pm
PROJ
DET logo DET 76%
30
CHI logo CHI 24%
21
PASS Jared Goff Jared Goff272 pass yds, 2.0 TD
RUSH Jahmyr Gibbs Jahmyr Gibbs102 rush yds, 0.9 TD
REC Rome Odunze Rome Odunze5.5 rec, 85 yds, 0.4 TD
Sim Prediction: Lions by 8.6
The sim sides with Lions: a 8.6-point edge and a 76% win rate over 50 runs (30-21).
Jahmyr Gibbs (Lions) vs Cam Lewis (Bears) - winner: Jahmyr Gibbs, 6.2 yds a carry - controls the line of scrimmage.
Full breakdown →
Sun 8:20pm
PROJ
PHI logo PHI 40%
15
SF logo SF 60%
18
PASS Brock Purdy Brock Purdy218 pass yds, 1.1 TD
RUSH Christian McCaffrey Christian McCaffrey59 rush yds, 0.4 TD
REC DeVonta Smith DeVonta Smith4.3 rec, 60 yds, 0.3 TD
Sim Prediction: 49ers by 2.7
The model leans 49ers by 2.7, winning 60% of 50 sims (projected 18-15).
Don't expect much heat from the 49ers — a 50% win rate yields only 6.8 sacks and 26.9 pressures a game, Nick Bosa (3.6 sacks, 7.5 pressures a game) leading the way.
Pressure could be scarce for the Eagles — a 51% win rate, 6.6 sacks and 30.5 pressures a game — Jonathan Greenard (3.5 sacks, 9.2 pressures a game) out front.
Full breakdown →

Monday, Jan 4

Mon 8:15pm
PROJ
HST logo HST 48%
21
GB logo GB 52%
22
PASS Jordan Love Jordan Love284 pass yds, 1.7 TD
RUSH David Montgomery David Montgomery40 rush yds, 0.3 TD
REC Christian Watson Christian Watson6.7 rec, 98 yds, 0.5 TD
Sim Prediction: Packers by 0.6
The model leans Packers by 0.6, winning 52% of 50 sims (projected 22-21).
MarShawn Lloyd (Packers) vs Tremon Smith (Texans) - winner: Tremon Smith, holding him to 1.0 yds a carry - the front wins up front.
Will Anderson Jr. (Texans) vs Anthony Belton (Packers) - winner: Will Anderson Jr., winning 57% of reps for 2.7 sacks and 7.2 pressures a game - constant heat on the quarterback.
Full breakdown →