Arch Manning QB Texas | NFL Draft Profile & Scouting Report
Arch Manning QB Texas
NFL Draft Profile & Scouting Report
| PLAY STYLE: Mobile Pocket Passer | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Last Updated: 02/10/2025 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Draft Year: 2026 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 40 time: 4.62 seconds (88%*) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Age: 19.9 DOB: 04/27/2005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| PLAY STYLE: Mobile Pocket Passer | |
| Last Updated: 02/10/2025 | |
| Draft Year: 2026 | |
| 40 time: 4.62 seconds (88%*) | |
| Age: 19.9 DOB: 04/27/2005 | |
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| Overall Rating: | 93.5 / 100 | |
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| Average rating of opposition Defense player has faced | ||
| Defense Rating: |
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77% |
| Click the links below to view how player ranks vs other prospects. | ||
| Release Speed: |
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92% |
| Short Passing: |
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85% |
| Medium Passing: |
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91% |
| Long Passing: |
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90% |
| Rush/Scramble: |
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88% |
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DRAFT PROJECTION:
1st - Top 5
Overall Rank:
#1
Position rank:
#1
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| College Games: 8 College Snaps: 259 | ||
ESPN RATING: 93/100
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247 RATING: 100/100
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RIVALS RATING: 6.1 (100%)
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Draft Profile: Bio
The latest chapter in football's most storied quarterback dynasty emerged from New Orleans' Isidore Newman School, where Arch Manning shattered the passing records previously held by his uncles Eli and Peyton. The 6'4", 225-pound signal-caller arrived at Texas as the consensus #1 recruit in the 2023 class, immediately sparking a media frenzy and landing high-profile NIL deals including Red Bull, all while carrying the immense expectations of the Manning name.After a redshirt year apprenticing behind Quinn Ewers, Manning's sophomore campaign provided glimpses of his tantalizing potential. Their relationship evolved from potential QB controversy into a meaningful mentorship, with Ewers taking the younger Manning under his wing - a dynamic that paid dividends when Manning was thrust into action after Ewers' injury. His breakout performance against UTSA - where he became the only QB in 25 years to record a 75+ yard TD pass, 65-yard rushing score, and another 50+ yard TD pass in the same game - showcased the dynamic playmaking ability that separates him from his pocket-passing uncles. In limited action across 8 games, Manning completed 67% of his passes for 969 yards with 9 touchdowns and just 2 interceptions.
His efficiency as Texas' spot starter (2-0 record) earned him SEC Co-Freshman of the Week honors and a spot on the Davey O'Brien Great 8 list. Manning's most complete performance came against Mississippi State, where he displayed surgical accuracy (83.9% completion rate) while throwing for 325 yards and accounting for three total touchdowns. His meteoric rise has already generated unprecedented NFL buzz, with multiple franchises reportedly eyeing the 2026 draft with Manning in mind - a testament to his potential impact before even assuming full-time starting duties.
Scouting Report: Strengths
- Exceptional pocket presence for his age - maintains composure under pressure while keeping eyes downfield and climbing the pocket with subtle movements.
- Natural throwing motion with quick, efficient release that allows him to drive the ball with velocity to all levels of the field.
- Displays advanced anticipation on timing routes, consistently throwing receivers open and leading them into space away from coverage.
- Much better athlete than his famous uncles - legitimate dual-threat ability with 4.62 speed and instinctive feel as a runner.
- Shows advanced pre-snap recognition, regularly identifying defensive leverage and making appropriate checks at the line.
- Exhibits rare poise in critical moments - doesn't get rattled after mistakes and elevates his game when stakes are highest.
- Outstanding touch and trajectory control on deep balls, dropping passes in the bucket while giving receivers optimal chances.
- Natural leader who commands respect through his work ethic and composed demeanor - carries himself like a 10-year veteran.
Scouting Report: Weaknesses
- Limited collegiate experience with only two starts - needs more live reps against high-level competition to refine decision-making.
- Can occasionally trust his arm too much, trying to force throws into tight windows rather than taking safer options.
- Still developing consistency with ball placement - accuracy can waver when throwing on the move or resetting platform.
- Will need to prove he can maintain mechanics and accuracy when facing consistent NFL pass rush pressure.
- Must show he can process and execute full-field reads at game speed against complex defensive looks.
Scouting Report: Summary
Manning represents the rare prospect who combines blue-chip physical tools with an elite football pedigree and natural feel for the position. His combination of arm talent, athleticism, and advanced mental processing hints at a ceiling that could surpass even his Hall of Fame uncles.While the sample size remains limited, Manning's flashes of brilliance - particularly his historic performance against UTSA - showcase a quarterback who can stress defenses vertically while extending plays with his legs. His quick release, anticipation, and dual-threat capability project perfectly to modern NFL offensive schemes.
Already generating unprecedented buzz as a potential first overall selection when eligible, Manning profiles as a franchise-altering talent who could step in as a Day 1 starter. His ideal landing spot would be with an offensive-minded head coach who can maximize his dynamic skill set while continuing to refine his development. The combination of physical tools, football IQ, and bloodline make him one of the most intriguing quarterback prospects in recent memory.
How other scouting services rate Arch Manning (Overall Rank)
All Scouts AverageOverall Rank
1.0
All Scouts AveragePosition Rank
1.0
*Percentile Ranking in Player's Position Group (NFL Combine Historical Data): This percentile reflects how a player's specific statistics rank
in comparison to historical performances at the NFL Combine, specifically within their position group. A higher percentile indicates a better performance.
For instance, being in the 90th percentile for a particular stat means the player outperformed 90% of their peers in that category.
*Similarity Percentage: This percentage is calculated based on a comprehensive analysis of various factors, including height, weight, 40-yard dash times, on-field performance statistics, and overall player rating. The analysis is conducted against our database of draft prospects from 2021 to 2023. This similarity score helps in evaluating how closely a current prospect aligns with past prospects. It is important to note, however, that this score reflects similarities based on college production and attributes, and does not account for eventual success or performance in the NFL.
*Similarity Percentage: This percentage is calculated based on a comprehensive analysis of various factors, including height, weight, 40-yard dash times, on-field performance statistics, and overall player rating. The analysis is conducted against our database of draft prospects from 2021 to 2023. This similarity score helps in evaluating how closely a current prospect aligns with past prospects. It is important to note, however, that this score reflects similarities based on college production and attributes, and does not account for eventual success or performance in the NFL.