J.J. McCarthy QB Michigan | NFL Draft Profile & Scouting Report
J.J. McCarthy QB Michigan
NFL Draft Profile & Scouting Report
PLAY STYLE: Mobile Pocket Passer | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Last Updated: 04/21/2024 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Draft Year: 2024 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
40 time: 4.60 seconds (90%*) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Age: 21.9 DOB: 01/20/2003 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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PLAY STYLE: Mobile Pocket Passer | |
Last Updated: 04/21/2024 | |
Draft Year: 2024 | |
40 time: 4.60 seconds (90%*) | |
Age: 21.9 DOB: 01/20/2003 | |
SHARE THIS PROFILE:
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Overall Rating: | 87.7 / 100 | |
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Average rating of opposition Defense player has faced | ||
Defense Rating: |
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77% |
Click the links below to view how player ranks vs other prospects. | ||
Release Speed: |
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81% |
Short Passing: |
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80% |
Medium Passing: |
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92% |
Long Passing: |
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95% |
Rush/Scramble: |
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78% |
DRAFT PROJECTION:
1st - Late
Overall Rank:
#27
Position rank:
#5
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College Games: 39 College Snaps: 1770 | ||
College Combine Results
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Player Comparison* (Similarity level) | ||
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Jaren Hall - BYU |
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79% |
Clayton Tune - Houston |
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77% |
Matt Corral - Ole Miss |
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76% |
Drafted: ROUND: 1 - Pick Number: 10 (MIN)
Draft Profile: Bio
J.J. McCarthy, originally from La Grange Park, IL, began his football journey at Nazareth Academy and then honed his skills at IMG Academy in the 2020 season. As a 4-star recruit recognized by both ESPN and 247 Sports, McCarthy's prowess was evident early on. This led to a commitment to Michigan even before concluding his high school career.In his freshman year at Michigan in 2021, McCarthy participated in 11 games, logging 516 passing yards with a 58.6% completion rate and throwing 5 TDs. On the ground, he showcased his dual-threat capability, running for 152 yards on 25 carries, averaging 6.1 yards per attempt.
However, it was in 2022 that saw a meteoric rise in his career. Now standing at 6-foot-3 and weighing 200 lbs, McCarthy dominated in 13 games, with impressive stats: 2,719 passing yards with a 64.9% completion rate, and 22 passing TDs. He also added 306 rushing yards with five touchdowns on 70 attempts. His stellar performance won him Michigan's Offensive Player of the Year, an All-Big Ten selection, and made him a Semifinalist for the Davey O'Brien National Quarterback Award.
Scouting Report: Strengths
- McCarthy's arm talent is evident with the way he can zip the ball through tight spaces, reminiscent of his clutch throws during the Ohio State game.
- Despite the run-heavy offense at Michigan, he has consistently shown the ability to take over games when needed, as seen during his 2,719 yard, 22-touchdown season.
- His agility in the pocket was evident during the National Semi-Finals, using his feet to buy time and keeping his eyes downfield.
- McCarthy's deep ball accuracy is on display with several of his touchdown passes, particularly against Purdue where he highlighted his ability to drop balls into tight coverage.
- Has shown a strong pocket presence in high-pressure situations, notably when he outplayed C.J. Stroud in the Wolverines vs. Buckeyes matchup.
- His clutch performances extend beyond just big games; his natural leadership and intangibles were crucial in guiding Michigan to a 13-1 season.
- Excelled in play-action sequences throughout the season, especially during the Big Ten Championship, pulling defenders out of position with his fakes.
- While maintaining a consistent release point, his game tapes against top-tier defenses like Ohio State show his impeccable throwing mechanics and decision-making under duress.
- Though there's room for improvement in his middle-field reads, his performance against top college defenses suggests strong potential for growth in this area with more coaching.
- McCarthy's frame, combined with his stellar on-field performance, signals great potential for development at the next level, backed by glowing reviews from NFL scouts.
Scouting Report: Weaknesses
- While McCarthy flashes a strong for an arm, he battles inconsistencies with ball placement, often forcing his pass-catchers to adjust mid-route, inhibiting YAC potential.
- When airing it out, he struggles with touch and loft, rather than just relying on his arm strength. This sometimes gives DBs (defensive backs) a window to make a play on the ball.
- On tape, against TCU, he's shown a glaring deficiency in throws to the boundary on the right side, hinting at a potential mechanical flaw in his release or footwork.
- His dropbacks sometimes lack the crispness and rhythm, causing him to telegraph throws, especially on out routes, giving corners a jump on the ball.
- Physique-wise, he sports a wiry frame that might raise eyebrows about his ability to take NFL-caliber hits, especially between the tackles or on scrambles.
- His pocket presence needs refinement; while he’s got the wheels to extend plays, he tends to bail from clean pockets rather than stepping up and navigating the pocket with poise.
- His football IQ, while promising, showcases a rawness in reading complex defensive schemes and disguises, a red flag when projecting against NFL defenses.
- Ball velocity is a strength, but he often lasers passes when a softer touch is needed, particularly against layered zone coverages or when dropping it in the bucket over linebackers and in front of safeties.
- As he heads to the pro level, diversifying his route tree and demonstrating a consistent ability to progress through reads will be paramount.
- His pre-snap diagnostics show room for growth; recognizing blitz packages, adjusting protections, and hot-routing will be crucial in the faster-paced, more intricate NFL defensive schemes.
Scouting Report: Summary
J.J. McCarthy, Michigan's junior QB, is really at a crossroads with a tough choice ahead: hit the big leagues in the 2024 NFL Draft or play another year in college. His record's solid - 25 wins and just 1 loss as the main guy under center. His stats? Pretty sharp - threw for over 2,600 yards, nailed 19 TDs, and kept his picks low at four. Plus, he's not just about throwing; the guy can tuck the ball and run, racking up yards and scoring on his feet too.What stands out with McCarthy is his ability to play both ways - he's got a good arm and he's accurate, making him a real threat in any offense. That's why he's looking like one of the top QB picks, maybe even the best to come out of Michigan in a while.
But here's the catch: because Michigan leans heavy on the run game, there's some chatter about whether McCarthy's had enough reps throwing the ball in big-time situations. He's got all the physical tools, no doubt, but some folks are wondering how he'll adapt to an NFL-style offense that leans more on the pass.
Physically, the guy's in shape, but could bulk up some to handle the rough and tumble of the NFL. He's a bit of a risk-taker on the run, which is something to watch out for. If he can lead Michigan to the top and show up big in those high-stakes games, it's a no-brainer for him to jump into the draft.
In a nutshell: McCarthy's got the talent and the numbers. The big question is how he'll transition to a pass-heavy offense in the pros. If he can beef up a bit and show he can sling it under pressure, he's got the makings of a high pick for any team looking for a quarterback who can do it all.
He has the potential to be a first-day selection in the 2024 NFL Draft, but currently, we slot him in the second-day range.
J.J. McCarthy percentiles vs other Quarterbacks (NFL Combine historically - higher value represents better perfomance)
How other scouting services rate J.J. McCarthy (Overall Rank)
All Scouts AverageOverall Rank
31.8
All Scouts AveragePosition Rank
4.0
*Percentile Ranking in Player's Position Group (NFL Combine Historical Data): This percentile reflects how a player's specific statistics rank
in comparison to historical performances at the NFL Combine, specifically within their position group. A higher percentile indicates a better performance.
For instance, being in the 90th percentile for a particular stat means the player outperformed 90% of their peers in that category.
*Similarity Percentage: This percentage is calculated based on a comprehensive analysis of various factors, including height, weight, 40-yard dash times, on-field performance statistics, and overall player rating. The analysis is conducted against our database of draft prospects from 2021 to 2023. This similarity score helps in evaluating how closely a current prospect aligns with past prospects. It is important to note, however, that this score reflects similarities based on college production and attributes, and does not account for eventual success or performance in the NFL.
*Similarity Percentage: This percentage is calculated based on a comprehensive analysis of various factors, including height, weight, 40-yard dash times, on-field performance statistics, and overall player rating. The analysis is conducted against our database of draft prospects from 2021 to 2023. This similarity score helps in evaluating how closely a current prospect aligns with past prospects. It is important to note, however, that this score reflects similarities based on college production and attributes, and does not account for eventual success or performance in the NFL.