Tyler Shough
Tyler Shough  QB  Louisville | NFL Draft 2025 Souting Report - Portrait Image
Tyler Shough
Height
6-5
Weight
225
College
Louisville
Position
QB
Class
Senior
Home town
Chandler, AZ
83.0/100
Player Rating
11
PositionRank (QB)
4.72
FortyYD Time
QB Rating
101.9
YDS
3195
Comp %
62.7
TDS
23
INTs
6
Rush AVG
.5

Tyler Shough QB Louisville | NFL Draft Profile & Scouting Report

Tyler Shough QB Louisville
NFL Draft Profile & Scouting Report

PLAY STYLE: Mobile Pocket Passer
Last Updated: 02/02/2025
Draft Year: 2025
40 time: 4.72 seconds (73%*)
Age: 25.4 DOB: 09/28/1999
Bowl Invite: Senior Bowl
Measurables:
Height: 6-5 (87%*) Weight: 225 (61%*)
Hands: 9 6/8 (58%*) Arm: 31 (24%*) Span: 76 1/8 (51%*)
Forty: 4.72 (O) (73%*) Shut: 4.20 (HS) (80%*)
Vert: 31.5 (HS) (46%*)
0% 100%
(C) - NFL Combine (P) - Pro Day (O) - Other (HS) -Estimated from High School Combine
For an explanation of how the (HS) data is calculated see this article
SHARE THIS PROFILE:
PLAY STYLE: Mobile Pocket Passer
Last Updated: 02/02/2025
Draft Year: 2025
40 time: 4.72 seconds (73%*)
Age: 25.4 DOB: 09/28/1999
Bowl Invite: Senior Bowl
Measurables:
0% 100%
Height: 6-5 (87%*) Weight: 225 (61%*)
Hands: 9 6/8 (58%*) Arm: 31 (24%*)
Span: 76 1/8 (51%*)
Forty: 4.72 (O) (73%*) Shut: 4.20 (HS) (80%*)
Vert: 31.5 (HS) (46%*)
(C) - NFL Combine (P) - Pro Day (O) - Other
(HS) -Estimated from High School Combine
For an explanation of how the (HS) data is calculated see this article
SHARE THIS PROFILE:
Overall Rating: 83.0 / 100
Average rating of opposition Defense player has faced
Defense Rating:
74%
Click the links below to view how player ranks vs other prospects.
Release Speed:
81%
Short Passing:
82%
Medium Passing:
91%
Long Passing:
93%
Rush/Scramble:
60%
DRAFT PROJECTION: 5th
Overall Rank: #144 Position rank: #11
College Games: 37 College Snaps: 1951
Grade: 4 ESPN  Stars 4 ESPN  Stars ESPN RATING: 81/100
College Combine Results
OVR Rank: #49 Pos Rank: #15 State Rank: #2
College Combine Results
Grade: 247 Sports 4  Stars 247 Sports 95 Stars 247 RATING: 95/100
Ovr Rank: #140 Pos Rank: #7
Grade: 4 Stars 4 Stars RIVALS RATING: 5.9 (97%)
Player Comparison* (Similarity level)
Tanner McKee - Stanford
73%
Kenny Pickett - Pittsburgh
70%
Carson Strong - Nevada
65%
Draft Profile: Bio
A seven-year collegiate journey that spans three Power 5 programs finally culminated in Shough putting together his first complete season as a starter at Louisville in 2024. The former four-star recruit and top-rated Arizona prospect originally signed with Oregon in 2018, where he backed up future NFL first-rounder Justin Herbert before earning the starting role in 2020. After leading the Ducks to a Pac-12 title, Shough transferred to Texas Tech where injuries derailed three promising campaigns. His final stop at Louisville proved to be the charm, as he showed why he was such a coveted recruit coming out of Hamilton High School in Chandler, Arizona.

The 6'5", 225-pound signal-caller made the most of his opportunity with the Cardinals, throwing for 3,195 yards and 23 touchdowns while leading Louisville to signature wins including a road upset over Clemson. His 266.3 yards per game passing ranks second all-time in Louisville history, impressive considering the program's rich quarterback lineage. The full season of health allowed Shough to showcase his development, particularly in Jeff Brohm's pro-style system that featured heavy play-action usage (43% of snaps) rather than the spread concepts he ran at previous stops.

After accepting an invite to the Senior Bowl, Shough turned heads during practice week in Mobile, earning top QB honors from defensive backs on the National team. While his age (25) and injury history raise some concerns, his physical tools and experience in multiple offensive systems make him an intriguing Day 2 prospect who could develop into a starter with the right coaching and situation.
Scouting Report: Strengths
  • Natural velocity generator who can drive the ball to all three levels without straining - shows particularly impressive juice when hitting deep crossers and seam routes in stride
  • Clean, compact release with minimal wasted movement allows him to get the ball out quickly even under duress - ball explodes out of his hand
  • Demonstrates advanced ability to alter arm slots and release points while maintaining accuracy, especially impressive on off-platform throws rolling left
  • Plus athlete for the position who can extend plays and pick up chunks with his legs - that front-flip TD against Clemson showed some serious competitive fire
  • Excellent familiarity with both spread and pro-style concepts after playing in three distinct systems - showed marked improvement operating under center at Louisville
  • Processes pre-snap looks efficiently and shows good understanding of defensive leverage - will work through full-field reads when given time
  • Touch passes have nice arc and placement, particularly on deep shots where he consistently gives receivers chances to make plays
  • Demonstrated improved decision-making in 2024 with career-best 23:6 TD-to-INT ratio while pushing the ball downfield more aggressively than during his time at Oregon and Texas Tech
Scouting Report: Weaknesses
  • Already 25 years old which likely caps his developmental ceiling compared to younger prospects in the class who have shown similar tools
  • Significant durability concerns with multiple collarbone injuries and a broken fibula limiting him to just 42 games across seven college seasons
  • Lower body mechanics can break down under pressure, causing throws to sail when he fails to drive through his plant leg
  • Can lock onto primary reads too long rather than working through progressions - needs to improve processing speed post-snap
  • Completion percentage drops nearly 30 points when pressured - tends to make poor decisions when the pocket breaks down
Scouting Report: Summary
The tape shows a quarterback who thrives in structured passing attacks featuring heavy play-action usage. When Shough can plant that back foot and drive through his throws off play-action, he generates impressive velocity to all levels of the field. That play-action prowess combined with his ability to layer passes between zones makes him an ideal fit in systems like San Francisco or Los Angeles that emphasize rhythmic timing throws and vertical shots off run action.

His Senior Bowl performance reinforced what shows up on Louisville film - this is a physically gifted passer who can make every throw in the playbook when his mechanics are right. The arm talent pops whether he's driving comebacks from the opposite hash or dropping deep balls in the bucket. While the age and medical history are legitimate concerns, several games from 2024 (Miami, Clemson, Virginia) showcase a QB ready to compete for a starting role sooner rather than later. The flashes of brilliance throwing on the move and improvising outside structure hint at a higher ceiling than his current draft buzz suggests.

After studying his full body of work, I'm convinced Shough will outperform his eventual draft position. The combination of size, arm strength, and experience in multiple pro-style concepts provides immediate NFL backup value with clear starter upside. He needs an established offensive system that can refine his mechanics and help him process faster under pressure. But in the right situation with proper development time, Shough has the tools to develop into a quality NFL starter by year two. The tape shows a more talented player than his current Day 2/3 projection indicates.
Written By:
Felix Green (ACC)

Tyler Shough percentiles vs other Quarterbacks (NFL Combine historically - higher value represents better perfomance)

How other scouting services rate Tyler Shough (Overall Rank)

All Scouts AverageOverall Rank
177.3
All Scouts AveragePosition Rank
14.0
*Percentile Ranking in Player's Position Group (NFL Combine Historical Data): This percentile reflects how a player's specific statistics rank in comparison to historical performances at the NFL Combine, specifically within their position group. A higher percentile indicates a better performance. For instance, being in the 90th percentile for a particular stat means the player outperformed 90% of their peers in that category.

*Similarity Percentage: This percentage is calculated based on a comprehensive analysis of various factors, including height, weight, 40-yard dash times, on-field performance statistics, and overall player rating. The analysis is conducted against our database of draft prospects from 2021 to 2023. This similarity score helps in evaluating how closely a current prospect aligns with past prospects. It is important to note, however, that this score reflects similarities based on college production and attributes, and does not account for eventual success or performance in the NFL.