CJ Bailey QB NC State |
NFL Draft Profile & Scouting Report
| Jersey: #11 PLAY STYLE: Mobile Pocket Passer | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Last Updated: 08/03/2026 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Draft Year: 2027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| FORTY time: 4.80 seconds (56%*) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Jersey: #11 | |
| PLAY STYLE: Mobile Pocket Passer | |
| Last Updated: 08/03/2026 | |
| Draft Year: 2027 | |
| Forty time: 4.80 seconds (56%*) | |
| Overall Rating: |
81.4 / 100
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| Average rating of opposition Defense player has faced | ||
| Defense Rating: |
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81% |
| Click the links below to view how player ranks vs other prospects. | ||
| Release Speed: |
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77% |
| Short Passing: |
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66% |
| Medium Passing: |
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69% |
| Long Passing: |
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90% |
| Rush/Scramble: |
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67% |
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DRAFT PROJECTION:
5th
Overall Rank:
#150
Position rank:
#17 (QB)
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| College Games: 24 College Snaps: 1480 | ||
ESPN RATING: 79/100
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247 RATING: 89/100
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RIVALS RATING: 5.8 (95%)
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| Player Comparison* (Similarity level) | ||
|---|---|---|
| Drew Allar - Penn State |
|
69% |
| Tanner McKee - Stanford |
|
66% |
| Will Howard - Ohio State |
|
64% |
Draft Profile: Bio
Bailey put up video-game numbers at Chaminade-Madonna in South Florida, throwing for 9,005 yards and 116 touchdowns while leading the powerhouse to three straight state titles. A four-star and a top-30 quarterback, he picked NC State over Miami, Georgia Tech and Texas A&M.He was thrust into action as a true freshman in 2024, taking over when starter Grayson McCall was injured and making his first start the next week against Clemson.
Bailey built on that as a sophomore in 2025, throwing for 3,105 yards with 25 touchdowns and nine interceptions across thirteen games, completing 68 percent of his passes. He announced a return to NC State for 2026, an accurate, productive young passer who already owns a full season of Power Four starting experience and a rising arrow. The 9,005 high school yards and three state titles came at the same Chaminade-Madonna program that has produced a string of Division I quarterbacks.
Scouting Report: Strengths
- Prototype frame at 6-6 with fluid motion and accuracy from the pocket
- Works in structure through progressions, navigating the pocket with poise
- Attacks downfield with placement, his most productive level
- Threw four scores on 20 of 23 against Campbell in a clean showcase
- Added 25 touchdowns and six rushing scores as a dual-threat in 2025
Scouting Report: Weaknesses
- Short-area and intermediate accuracy lag behind the deeper throws
- Presses under heavy pressure; his interceptions cluster in lopsided losses
- Improvisation off-script is underdeveloped; he wins from structure, not creation
- Not a creator with his legs; he will not consistently extend plays
Scouting Report: Summary
Bailey was a three-star recruit later re-graded a five-star, and he started for NC State in 2025, throwing for 3,105 yards and 25 touchdowns against nine interceptions while adding six scores on the ground. The frame is the headline, a prototype 6-6 build with a fluid motion, and he plays the position from structure, working through progressions and navigating the pocket with poise rather than bailing.He pushes the ball downfield with placement, his most productive level, and his best tape is clean and efficient, four touchdowns on 20 of 23 against Campbell. For a young starter he handles the operation well, and he returns to NC State in 2026 to keep building.
The limits show up under duress. His short and intermediate accuracy lag the deep ball, he presses when heavy pressure arrives, and his interceptions cluster in the lopsided losses. He creates little off-script and is an average athlete who will not extend plays at the next level. On balance, he is a developmental pocket passer whose size and structure are the foundation, and the 2026 tape, with cleaner accuracy and better pressure response, is what moves the projection. He projects as a backup with developmental upside, the kind of big-bodied passer a staff is willing to redshirt and coach into a role.
How other scouting services rate CJ Bailey (Overall Rank)
All Scouts AverageOverall Rank
123.0
All Scouts AveragePosition Rank
16.0
*Percentile Ranking in Player's Position Group (NFL Combine Historical Data): This percentile reflects how a player's specific statistics rank
in comparison to historical performances at the NFL Combine, specifically within their position group. A higher percentile indicates a better performance.
For instance, being in the 90th percentile for a particular stat means the player outperformed 90% of their peers in that category.
*Similarity Percentage: This percentage is calculated based on a comprehensive analysis of various factors, including height, weight, 40-yard dash times, on-field performance statistics, and overall player rating. The analysis is conducted against our database of draft prospects from 2021 to 2023. This similarity score helps in evaluating how closely a current prospect aligns with past prospects. It is important to note, however, that this score reflects similarities based on college production and attributes, and does not account for eventual success or performance in the NFL.
*Similarity Percentage: This percentage is calculated based on a comprehensive analysis of various factors, including height, weight, 40-yard dash times, on-field performance statistics, and overall player rating. The analysis is conducted against our database of draft prospects from 2021 to 2023. This similarity score helps in evaluating how closely a current prospect aligns with past prospects. It is important to note, however, that this score reflects similarities based on college production and attributes, and does not account for eventual success or performance in the NFL.
