A.J. Holmes Jr. DL Texas Tech |
NFL Draft Profile & Scouting Report
| Jersey: #33 SUB-POSITION: NT/DT | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Last Updated: 06/08/2026 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Draft Year: 2028 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| FORTY time: 5.00 seconds (42%*) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Age: 22.9 DOB: 11/07/2003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Jersey: #33 | |
| SUB-POSITION: NT/DT | |
| Last Updated: 06/08/2026 | |
| Draft Year: 2028 | |
| Forty time: 5.00 seconds (42%*) | |
| Age: 22.9 DOB: 11/07/2003 | |
| Overall Rating: |
87.2 / 100
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| Average rating of opposition Offense player has faced | ||
| Offense Rating: |
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72% |
| Click the links below to view how player ranks vs other prospects. | ||
| Tackling: |
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62% |
| Pass Rush: |
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74% |
| Run Defense: |
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88% |
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DRAFT PROJECTION:
1st - Top 10
Overall Rank:
#7
Position rank:
#2 (DL)
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| College Games: 42 College Snaps: 1809 | ||
ESPN RATING: 79/100
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247 RATING: 87/100
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RIVALS RATING: 5.5 (90%)
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| Player Comparison* (Similarity level) | ||
|---|---|---|
| Kris Jenkins - Michigan |
|
93% |
| Byron Young - Alabama |
|
88% |
| Rayshaun Benny - Michigan |
|
83% |
Draft Profile: Bio
A District 14-6A MVP at Westfield High in Houston, Holmes signed with the Houston Cougars as a three-star and built his game over three seasons there, posting 40 tackles, 8.5 for loss and two sacks as a junior in 2024 before entering the transfer portal.He landed at Texas Tech, joining a heavily funded defensive line, and moved into a starting role when injury opened the door. The production followed him to Lubbock.
In 2025 Holmes piled up 37 quarterback pressures and five sacks across fourteen games, adding 23 run stops and a forced fumble while breaking up four passes at the line of scrimmage. He registered two sacks against Kansas and a strip-sack of BYU in the Big 12 Championship, earning PFF First-team All-America and second-team All-Big 12 honors as a sixth-year interior anchor. His run defense graded among the Big 12's best, anchoring one of the conference's stoutest fronts across a fourteen-game season.
Scouting Report: Strengths
- Run defense ranks near the top of the position over heavy snaps
- Pairs the anchor with real interior rush, posting five sacks and thirty-seven pressures
- Wrecked the Kansas game with two sacks and eight total pressures
- Gets his hands inside quickly and resets the line against single blocks
- Knocked the ball loose against BYU and batted four passes at the line
- Holds the point against doubles without losing his gap integrity
- Productive across 564 snaps in fourteen games without fading late
- Wins early with leverage and converts power into pocket push
Scouting Report: Weaknesses
- Finish as a tackler is ordinary, with four misses on the year
- Average timed speed limits range and back-side pursuit
- Wins more on power than a varied hand plan when the bull stalls
Scouting Report: Summary
Holmes is the kind of interior anchor a defense builds its run front around, and 2025 added a pass-rush dimension that lifts the whole profile. His run defense sat near the top of the position, but the leap was the disruption: five sacks and thirty-seven pressures from inside, headlined by a two-sack, eight-pressure afternoon against Kansas and a forced fumble at BYU. He resets the line with quick hands, holds up against doubles, and gives a defense trustworthy snaps on every down.The cleanup areas are honest but minor. His tackle finish is ordinary and the grade took a hit from four misses, the timed speed is average so the range is limited, and the rush still leans on power more than a sequenced hand plan when the bull rush stalls. None of it undercuts the core, which is a productive, three-down interior presence who wins the run rep and chips in pressure.
There is a starting-caliber interior defender here, the rare older prospect whose tape backs the grade rather than the upside. He wins now with leverage, hands, and motor, and the pass-rush growth gives him a higher ceiling than a pure run-plugger. Slot him as an early-down cornerstone who earns sub-package snaps, a first-round value on production if the eligibility checks out.
How other scouting services rate A.J. Holmes Jr. (Overall Rank)
All Scouts AverageOverall Rank
33.8
All Scouts AveragePosition Rank
6.0
*Percentile Ranking in Player's Position Group (NFL Combine Historical Data): This percentile reflects how a player's specific statistics rank
in comparison to historical performances at the NFL Combine, specifically within their position group. A higher percentile indicates a better performance.
For instance, being in the 90th percentile for a particular stat means the player outperformed 90% of their peers in that category.
*Similarity Percentage: This percentage is calculated based on a comprehensive analysis of various factors, including height, weight, 40-yard dash times, on-field performance statistics, and overall player rating. The analysis is conducted against our database of draft prospects from 2021 to 2023. This similarity score helps in evaluating how closely a current prospect aligns with past prospects. It is important to note, however, that this score reflects similarities based on college production and attributes, and does not account for eventual success or performance in the NFL.
*Similarity Percentage: This percentage is calculated based on a comprehensive analysis of various factors, including height, weight, 40-yard dash times, on-field performance statistics, and overall player rating. The analysis is conducted against our database of draft prospects from 2021 to 2023. This similarity score helps in evaluating how closely a current prospect aligns with past prospects. It is important to note, however, that this score reflects similarities based on college production and attributes, and does not account for eventual success or performance in the NFL.
