A.J. Holmes Jr. DL Texas Tech |
NFL Draft Profile & Scouting Report
| Jersey: #10 SUB-POSITION: VERSATILE DL | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Last Updated: 11/03/2026 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Draft Year: 2027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| FORTY time: 4.95 seconds (51%*) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Age: 22.11 DOB: 11/07/2003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Jersey: #10 | |
| SUB-POSITION: VERSATILE DL | |
| Last Updated: 11/03/2026 | |
| Draft Year: 2027 | |
| Forty time: 4.95 seconds (51%*) | |
| Age: 22.11 DOB: 11/07/2003 | |
| Overall Rating: |
85.8 / 100
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| Average rating of opposition Offense player has faced | ||
| Offense Rating: |
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72% |
| Click the links below to view how player ranks vs other prospects. | ||
| Tackling: |
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59% |
| Pass Rush: |
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92% |
| Run Defense: |
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84% |
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DRAFT PROJECTION:
2nd - Mid
Overall Rank:
#40
Position rank:
#6 (DL)
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| College Games: 50 College Snaps: 2191 | ||
ESPN RATING: 79/100
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247 RATING: 87/100
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RIVALS RATING: 5.5 (90%)
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| Player Comparison* (Similarity level) | ||
|---|---|---|
| Jer'Zhan Newton - Illinois |
|
88% |
| Kobie Turner - Wake Forest |
|
80% |
| Kris Jenkins - Michigan |
|
78% |
Draft Profile: Bio
Anthony "A.J." Holmes Jr. was the District 14-6A MVP as a senior at Westfield High School in Houston, posting 96 tackles, 26 tackles for loss and 16 sacks. His father, Anthony Holmes Sr., played linebacker and running back at Northwestern State. As a three-star recruit he chose Houston and spent three seasons with the Cougars, playing in 29 games with 16 starts and making 67 tackles and 13.5 tackles for loss.Holmes transferred to Texas Tech for 2025. He opened the season as a backup, then started the final eight games after Skyler Gill-Howard was hurt, finishing with 38 tackles, nine tackles for loss, four pass breakups, a forced fumble and two fumble recoveries. He had two sacks against Kansas, a sack and a forced fumble in the Big 12 title game win over BYU and played in the Orange Bowl against Oregon. He was a second-team All-American by the AP and a first-team All-Big 12 pick.
Holmes was named the preseason Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year for 2026, and Joey McGuire called him the best defensive tackle returning in college football. He has backed it up with eight sacks and 37 pressures in eight games for a 7-1 team, including two sacks against Arizona State and two more in the loss at Cincinnati, and he has 18 run stops.
Scouting Report: Strengths
- Has eight sacks and 37 pressures in eight games this season
- Anchors against the run, with 18 stops in 2026 after 23 in 2025
- Heavy, active hands let him stack single blocks and shed into the gap
- Second-team AP All-American in his first season at Texas Tech
- Shoots gaps on slants and gets into the backfield quickly
- Productive in big games, with a sack and forced fumble in the Big 12 title game
Scouting Report: Weaknesses
- Average timed speed limits his range outside the tackle box
- Missed five tackles this season, too many for an interior starter
- Pass rush leans on power, and his counter moves are still developing
- Was a part-time starter at Houston, with 16 starts in three seasons
Scouting Report: Summary
Holmes has become one of the most productive interior pass rushers in the country in 2026. He has eight sacks and 37 pressures in eight games, wins with heavy hands and a low pad level, and pairs the rush with a sound run game, anchoring against down blocks and holding his gap. He was a second-team All-American in his first season at Texas Tech, and his jump this fall has matched the preseason billing. He has also been durable, playing all eight games and more than 380 snaps.His production has also come in big moments. He had a sack and a forced fumble in the 2025 Big 12 title game win over BYU, two sacks against Arizona State this October and two more in the loss at Cincinnati. Joey McGuire called him the best defensive tackle returning in college football and said in the spring that he can disrupt an entire practice. Texas Tech is 7-1, and he has started every game in the middle of its front.
However, he is not a twitchy athlete. His timed speed is average, so his range outside the tackle box is limited, and he has missed five tackles this season. His pass rush leans on power more than a developed plan, so teams will want to see a counter when the first move stalls. He was also a part-time starter for three seasons at Houston before his breakout, so his best football has come in the last year and a half. His best tape has also come in a rotation that keeps him fresh, at under 50 snaps a game.
Overall, Holmes is a powerful, productive interior defender who can anchor on early downs and push the pocket on third down. He projects as a second-round defensive tackle and an early starter, with the upside of a three-down interior lineman if the rush plan keeps growing.
How other scouting services rate A.J. Holmes Jr. (Overall Rank)
All Scouts AverageOverall Rank
60.6
All Scouts AveragePosition Rank
12.0
*Percentile Ranking in Player's Position Group (NFL Combine Historical Data): This percentile reflects how a player's specific statistics rank
in comparison to historical performances at the NFL Combine, specifically within their position group. A higher percentile indicates a better performance.
For instance, being in the 90th percentile for a particular stat means the player outperformed 90% of their peers in that category.
*Similarity Percentage: This percentage is calculated based on a comprehensive analysis of various factors, including height, weight, 40-yard dash times, on-field performance statistics, and overall player rating. The analysis is conducted against our database of draft prospects from 2021 to 2023. This similarity score helps in evaluating how closely a current prospect aligns with past prospects. It is important to note, however, that this score reflects similarities based on college production and attributes, and does not account for eventual success or performance in the NFL.
*Similarity Percentage: This percentage is calculated based on a comprehensive analysis of various factors, including height, weight, 40-yard dash times, on-field performance statistics, and overall player rating. The analysis is conducted against our database of draft prospects from 2021 to 2023. This similarity score helps in evaluating how closely a current prospect aligns with past prospects. It is important to note, however, that this score reflects similarities based on college production and attributes, and does not account for eventual success or performance in the NFL.
