MVP Watch- Who Will Dominate the 2025 NFL Season?

The fans are ready, the teams are eager to hit the field and start competing, and on September 5, it will finally be football season once again. And just like with every new year in sports, the few days before it all starts are some of the best times for speculation, prediction, and fan theories. As we often do, picking out the favorites and those likely to be the most successful is in order. How else will the hype be at the absolute maximum without the fans of all clubs clashing before their respective teams do so? 

With that in mind, the best arguments and the fiercest of opinions typically clash about who has the best chances to lift the Lombardi trophy. To be the Super Bowl champion is the ultimate goal of every football player, from the earliest days of and first practices. However, on the individual scale, it is the National Football League Most Valuable Player, the NFL MVP, as the most prestigious. Being the best player for a whole season does not just mean having the stats to prove it, but leading your team to one of the best winning records and reaching deep into the playoffs. While it does not always equal team success, it is the highest a player can win for himself. 

NFL MVP 2025/206 Odds and Predictions

Before the season starts, the best indicator of which player has the best chance of winning the Most Valuable Player in the regular season is Lamar Jackson. His odds are 5.75 to win it, and he leads the list. He previously won it in 2023 and 2019, and a third would put him next to the greats like Tom Brady. The Ravens should have a productive season, and Jackson is their leader after all. Behind him is last year’s winner, Josh Allen, with 6.50 odds. The 29 year old QB will look to make it two in a row, which would put him in exclusive company that only a handful have managed.

Third on the list is Joe Burrow with 7.00, followed by Patrick Mahomes with 7.50. Burrow would become a first time winner, while Pat Mahomes has won it twice so far, in 2018 and 2022. Rounding up the top five is Jayden Daniels with 10.00 odds for his first title, in what would be a sophomore MVP campaign after being the Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2024. Those are the frontrunners for the individual reward, highlighted by great play last season and being part of strong rosters aiming to make a push this season.

Regarding the NFL teams in Florida, they do not have a strong MVP candidate among them this time around. Their Super Bowl chances are somewhere towards the upper middle, with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers having 26.00 odds of winning it this year. The Jacksonville Jaguars are at 81.00 odds, while the Miami Dolphins are at 101.00. The teams most likely to lift the Vince Lombardi trophy are the Baltimore Ravens and Buffalo Bills, each with 7.50. The Philly Eagles have 8.00 and the Kansas City Chiefs are at 9.50. Most of them also have a strong case for the MVP, so it makes sense. 

NFL MVP Facts and Trivia

In the long history of the NFL, there have been many MVPs, but not all of them got there in the same manner. As it usually happens, the elusive trophy has a lot of stories and fascinating circumstances surrounding it, so here are some that every serious fan of the game should know. 

• Peyton Manning’s Record
  Peyton Manning holds the record for the most NFL MVP awards with five. He won them in 2003, 2004, 2008, 2009, and 2013. Aaron Rodgers has 4, and several players have 3. 
• MVP and Heisman Winners
  Only ten players have won both the Heisman Trophy and the NFL MVP award. This rare feat underscores the difficulty of transitioning college football stardom into professional excellence. Notable names include Barry Sanders and Cam Newton.
• Only Two Defensive MVPs
  Only two defensive players have ever won the award: Alan Page in 1971 and Lawrence Taylor in 1986. This highlights how rare it is for a defensive standout to outshine quarterbacks and running backs in MVP voting.
• No Wide Receivers
  Despite wide receivers being some of the most dynamic playmakers, none have ever won the MVP award. Players like Jerry Rice, Randy Moss, and Cooper Kupp had historic seasons but were overlooked in favor of quarterbacks or running backs.
• The MVP Super Bowl Curse
  There is a long standing trend where the NFL MVP often loses the Super Bowl if they reach it in the same season. Since 2000, MVPs have lost the Super Bowl more often than they have won it.
• Only One Rookie Has Ever Won MVP
  Jim Brown is the only rookie to ever win the NFL MVP, doing so in 1957. He rushed for 942 yards and nine touchdowns in a 12 game season.
• Running Backs Once Dominated
  From the 1970s through the 1990s, running backs frequently won MVP awards. Players like O.J. Simpson, Earl Campbell, and Emmitt Smith were often top contenders. Since 2007, only Adrian Peterson and LaDainian Tomlinson have won.
• Quarterbacks Have a Stronghold
  Quarterbacks have overwhelmingly dominated MVP selections, especially in the 21st century. Since 2001, only three non quarterbacks have won the award.
• MVPs Without Playoffs
  It is rare, but a few MVPs have missed the playoffs in the year they won. One example is O.J. Simpson in 1973, when he rushed for over 2,000 yards, but the Buffalo Bills finished just 9-5 and missed the postseason.
• Unanimous MVPs are Rare
  Only a few players received every first place vote. Tom Brady achieved it in 2010, and Lamar Jackson in 2019. It is a strong indicator of a truly dominant season when no voter disagrees.