You can lose a draft before you make a pick. The Bears did it at the trade table, overpaying to chase players the board did not price nearly as high. Too much went sideways, and the D+ is the honest tally.

Whatever Caleb Williams becomes, the front office has tied its fortunes to the answer. They will regret leaving edge rusher for another day if the season turns on it.

Bottom line, they will need several of these picks to beat their grades just to break even, and edge rusher is still a hole.