You can lose a draft before you make a pick. The Raiders did it at the trade table, overpaying to chase players the board did not price nearly as high.

Whatever Fernando Mendoza becomes, the front office has tied its fortunes to the answer. Every board in the league had Lawrence lower, and that gap is the story. If this class has a fault line, it runs straight through tight end.

Wheatley falling to them is the kind of break a good board is built to catch.

It is a steep hill from here, and the grade knows it.