You can lose a draft before you make a pick. The Raiders did it at the trade table, overpaying to chase players the board did not price nearly as high. Hard to defend, and the D+ reflects that.

If Whittington pans out, nobody remembers the price. If not, this is the pick they hear about. Everything downstream of Caleb Williams depends on Caleb Williams, and the building knows it.

They covered a lot of ground and still skipped edge rusher, which is a strange place to end up. The Mustapha pick is the one they will point to when this weekend is judged.

Spend now, pay later; the math only works if this class delivers.

Bottom line, they will be counting on several picks to beat their grades.