You can lose a draft before you make a pick. The Patriots did it at the trade table, overpaying to chase players the board did not price nearly as high.

The edge rusher hole is the one line item this class does not answer. That is a safety worth more than the slot they spent on him, plainly. Job largely done: wide receiver settled and 3 of 8 of the wish list covered.

Bottom line, they will need several of these picks to beat their grades just to break even.