You can lose a draft before you make a pick. The Browns did it at the trade table, overpaying to chase players the board did not price nearly as high.

So much rides on Cam Ward that the rest of the class almost grades on a curve behind him. Turner has a lot of ground to make up just to look fairly priced. A whole weekend of picks and edge rusher is somehow still a want.

The Higgins value carries more weight than any single miss elsewhere. Spend now, pay later; the math only works if this class delivers.

Bottom line, they will be counting on several picks to beat their grades.