You can lose a draft before you make a pick. The Raiders did it at the trade table, overpaying to chase players the board did not price nearly as high. The math is unkind, and the D- follows.

They have staked the next five years on Fernando Mendoza, which is the only story that really matters here. They covered a lot of ground and still skipped tight end, which is a strange place to end up.

Every board in the league had Wheatley lower, and that gap is the story. On value alone, Bell makes the weekend a net positive.

Bottom line, they will need several of these picks to beat their grades just to break even, and tight end is still a hole.