Miller Moss QB Louisville |
NFL Draft Profile & Scouting Report
| Jersey: #7 PLAY STYLE: Pocket Passer | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Last Updated: 03/23/2026 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Draft Year: 2026 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| FORTY time: 4.85 seconds (45%*) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Age: 24.4 DOB: 03/19/2002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Bowl Invite: Shrine Bowl | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Jersey: #7 | |
| PLAY STYLE: Pocket Passer | |
| Last Updated: 03/23/2026 | |
| Draft Year: 2026 | |
| Forty time: 4.85 seconds (45%*) | |
| Age: 24.4 DOB: 03/19/2002 | |
| Bowl Invite: Shrine Bowl | |
| Overall Rating: | 79.0 / 100 | |
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| Average rating of opposition Defense player has faced | ||
| Defense Rating: |
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82% |
| Click the links below to view how player ranks vs other prospects. | ||
| Release Speed: |
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86% |
| Short Passing: |
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65% |
| Medium Passing: |
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67% |
| Long Passing: |
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89% |
| Rush/Scramble: |
|
75% |
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DRAFT PROJECTION:
UDFA
Overall Rank:
#261
Position rank:
#11 (QB)
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| College Games: 28 College Snaps: 1555 | ||
ESPN RATING: 87/100
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247 RATING: 97/100
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RIVALS RATING: 5.9 (97%)
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| Player Comparison* (Similarity level) | ||
|---|---|---|
| EJ Perry - Brown |
|
75% |
| Dustin Crum - Kent State |
|
65% |
| Michael Pratt - Tulane |
|
65% |
Draft Profile: Bio
Bishop Alemany in Mission Hills produced a consensus four-star quarterback in Miller Moss, who earned PrepStar Dream Team honors and a Southern California News Group Fab 15 first-team selection while growing up in Pacific Palisades, California. As a junior, he threw for over 3,100 yards and 28 touchdowns, earning Cal-Hi Sports All-State recognition and the Los Angeles Daily News Offensive Player of the Year award.Moss enrolled early at USC in 2021 and spent three seasons backing up Caleb Williams. His breakout came in the 2023 Holiday Bowl, where he started in place of Williams and threw for 372 yards and six touchdowns in a win over Louisville, setting multiple USC and Pac-12 bowl records. He won the starting job for 2024, opened with a strong showing in a victory over LSU, but struggled through a five-loss stretch and was eventually benched after nine starts. He finished the year with 2,555 yards, 18 touchdowns, and nine interceptions.
Moss transferred to Louisville for his final season, playing under Jeff Brohm. He threw for 2,679 yards and 16 touchdowns against seven interceptions across 28 games played in his career at both schools. He earned Johnny Unitas Golden Arm Award Top 10 and Davey O'Brien Great 8 honors.
Scouting Report: Strengths
- One of the quickest releases in this class, with a consistent sub-2.65 second time to throw.
- Deep ball accuracy is a genuine strength, placing the ball where only his receiver can get it.
- Comfortable working through progressions and getting to his second or third read without hesitation.
- Sells play-action convincingly and keeps his eyes downfield through the fake.
- Willing pocket passer who hangs in against pressure and delivers on time.
- Threw well on the move more than expected at Louisville, especially on designed bootlegs.
- Handles full audible and protection responsibilities, commanding the line before the snap.
Scouting Report: Weaknesses
- Arm is functional but not a weapon. Deep shots need perfect timing or receivers adjust.
- Carries the ball loose in the pocket. Got caught cradling it low too often at Louisville.
- Forced balls into coverage more frequently as the 2025 season wore on. Trust issues with reads.
- Narrow frame that absorbs contact poorly. Gets knocked off his spot by interior pressure.
- Went down too easy at Louisville. Did not sense or slide away from edge pressure well.
- The 2025 tape is a clear step back from his best work at USC in terms of overall throw quality.
Scouting Report: Summary
When you watch the early 2024 USC tape, you see a quarterback who looks ready. The ball comes out on time, he manipulates safeties with his eyes, and he throws with anticipation on intermediate crossers and deep posts. That version of Moss fits nicely into any timing-based passing scheme where the quarterback operates from structure, gets the ball out quick, and trusts his placement. His play-action work is genuinely good, and his ability to manage protections and check into better looks at the line gives him a floor that most late-round passers do not have.The problem is that his final season of college football likely hurt him more than it helped. Had Moss declared after the 2024 season, even with the benching, teams could have pointed to that early-season stretch and the Holiday Bowl tape as evidence of what he could be. Instead, the Louisville film shows a quarterback who regressed. He went down on too many rushes he should have escaped, put the ball on the ground in situations a pocket passer simply cannot, and forced throws into tighter windows as the year progressed. Brohm's system should have been a good landing spot, and there were flashes, but the overall product was not as clean as what he put on tape at USC the year before. Staying in school gave evaluators another full season of film that moved him backward, not forward.
Moss is a fringe draftable prospect, and there is a real chance he goes undrafted entirely. The release and the processing are legitimate tools, but the downward trajectory from 2024 to 2025 is the kind of trend that pushes a quarterback off draft boards. If he hears his name called, it will be at the tail end of Day 3, and the team taking him will be betting on the early 2024 version rather than what he showed at Louisville.
Written By:
Lennox Tate
Miller Moss percentiles vs other Quarterbacks (NFL Combine historically - higher value represents better perfomance)
How other scouting services rate Miller Moss (Overall Rank)
All Scouts AverageOverall Rank
309.2
All Scouts AveragePosition Rank
35.0
*Percentile Ranking in Player's Position Group (NFL Combine Historical Data): This percentile reflects how a player's specific statistics rank
in comparison to historical performances at the NFL Combine, specifically within their position group. A higher percentile indicates a better performance.
For instance, being in the 90th percentile for a particular stat means the player outperformed 90% of their peers in that category.
*Similarity Percentage: This percentage is calculated based on a comprehensive analysis of various factors, including height, weight, 40-yard dash times, on-field performance statistics, and overall player rating. The analysis is conducted against our database of draft prospects from 2021 to 2023. This similarity score helps in evaluating how closely a current prospect aligns with past prospects. It is important to note, however, that this score reflects similarities based on college production and attributes, and does not account for eventual success or performance in the NFL.
*Similarity Percentage: This percentage is calculated based on a comprehensive analysis of various factors, including height, weight, 40-yard dash times, on-field performance statistics, and overall player rating. The analysis is conducted against our database of draft prospects from 2021 to 2023. This similarity score helps in evaluating how closely a current prospect aligns with past prospects. It is important to note, however, that this score reflects similarities based on college production and attributes, and does not account for eventual success or performance in the NFL.