Miller Moss QB USC | NFL Draft Profile & Scouting Report
Miller Moss QB USC
NFL Draft Profile & Scouting Report
| PLAY STYLE: Pocket Passer | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Last Updated: 02/10/2025 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Draft Year: 2026 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 40 time: 4.85 seconds (45%*) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Age: 22.10 DOB: 03/19/2002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| PLAY STYLE: Pocket Passer | |
| Last Updated: 02/10/2025 | |
| Draft Year: 2026 | |
| 40 time: 4.85 seconds (45%*) | |
| Age: 22.10 DOB: 03/19/2002 | |
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| Overall Rating: | 83.5 / 100 | |
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| Average rating of opposition Defense player has faced | ||
| Defense Rating: |
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78% |
| Click the links below to view how player ranks vs other prospects. | ||
| Release Speed: |
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88% |
| Short Passing: |
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74% |
| Medium Passing: |
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82% |
| Long Passing: |
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80% |
| Rush/Scramble: |
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65% |
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DRAFT PROJECTION:
3rd
Overall Rank:
#92
Position rank:
#9
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| College Games: 16 College Snaps: 776 | ||
ESPN RATING: 87/100
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247 RATING: 97/100
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RIVALS RATING: 5.9 (97%)
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| Player Comparison* (Similarity level) | ||
|---|---|---|
| Brock Purdy - Iowa State |
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85% |
| Jake Haener - Fresno State |
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79% |
| Spencer Rattler - South Carolina |
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73% |
Draft Profile: Bio
Miller Moss's journey through college football reflects the complex landscape of modern quarterback development. A highly-touted four-star recruit out of Bishop Alemany High in Mission Hills, California, Moss initially found himself in a crowded quarterback room at USC. After patiently waiting his turn behind Heisman winner Caleb Williams, Moss burst onto the national scene with a record-setting six-touchdown performance in the 2023 Holiday Bowl against Louisville. His 2024 campaign as USC's starter began with promise, including a signature game-winning drive against LSU, before struggles in conference play led to his eventual benching. Recently, Moss made the decision to transfer to Louisville, where he'll have the opportunity to develop under Jeff Brohm's QB-friendly system for his final collegiate season.The California native's collegiate path exemplifies the modern quarterback's development arc. After graduating from USC in just two years with a degree in Law, History and Culture, Moss demonstrated the intellectual capacity that shows up in his film study and on-field processing. His journey from highly-recruited prep star to backup, to starter, to transfer portal success story has shaped him into a mentally tough signal-caller who's seen the game from multiple perspectives.
At USC, Moss demonstrated strong fundamentals and the ability to execute a complex offensive system. His time in Los Angeles, though marked by ups and downs, showcased his ability to digest pro-style concepts and make pre-snap adjustments. The upcoming season at Louisville under Brohm, known for developing NFL-caliber quarterbacks, will be crucial for his draft stock and professional aspirations.
Scouting Report: Strengths
- Lightning-quick release that stands out on tape - gets the ball out faster than most prospects I've studied this year, helping him avoid pressure and hit timing routes with precision
- Excellent touch and accuracy on intermediate throws, particularly in the 15-25 yard range where he consistently shows his sweet spot working the middle of the field
- Processes defensive looks rapidly and works through progressions efficiently - watch the LSU game-winner where he went through three reads in 2.8 seconds
- Maintains consistent throwing mechanics under pressure, rarely letting his footwork break down even when forced to adjust in the pocket
- Shows advanced understanding of leverage and timing - consistently throws receivers open and places the ball away from defenders' reach
- Demonstrates high football IQ with pre-snap adjustments and protection calls - handled full audible responsibilities in both USC and Louisville's systems
- Excels in the play-action game, selling fakes effectively and keeping his eyes downfield while navigating traffic
- Championship-level competitive toughness - bounced back from early-career setbacks and consistently elevated his game in crucial moments
Scouting Report: Weaknesses
- Arm strength is adequate but not special - deep balls tend to hang a bit, forcing receivers to adjust and limiting explosive play potential
- Limited athlete who won't threaten defenses with his legs - testing numbers confirm what shows up on tape
- Can get too aggressive trying to fit throws into tight windows, leading to momentum-shifting turnovers as seen in several 2024 USC losses
- Needs to improve ball security in the pocket - has a tendency to keep the ball low when navigating traffic
- Sometimes slow to pull the trigger on throws to the boundary, allowing defenders to close space and contest passing lanes
Scouting Report: Summary
The tale of two seasons in 2024 makes Moss one of the most intriguing prospects to watch. Early in the year, he was shooting up draft boards - the LSU game-winner had scouts buzzing about his poise and quick processing, with some even floating him as a potential day two pick. Then came the brutal stretch of turnovers and eventual benching that sent his stock plummeting. But diving deep into the tape, I'm convinced those midseason struggles were more aberration than trend. The fundamentals that had evaluators excited - the quick release, the pre-snap reads, the timing - didn't disappear, they just got buried under mounting pressure and offensive instability.The 2025 season at Louisville will be make-or-break for his NFL aspirations. Jeff Brohm's quarterback-friendly system provides the perfect platform for Moss to prove the second half of 2024 was an outlier. Working with a coach known for developing NFL-ready passers, he'll have every opportunity to showcase the traits that had scouts salivating early in 2024 - his anticipation throws, his manipulation of safeties, his command of pro-style concepts. The way he processes information and delivers with anticipation reminds me of watching a young Kirk Cousins - not the strongest arm you'll see, but deadly accurate when he can set his feet and throw in rhythm.
If Moss can recapture his early 2024 form, he profiles as an NFL-ready backup who could develop into a spot starter in the right system. Drop him into an offense that emphasizes quick game concepts and play-action passing - think what Kyle Shanahan runs in San Francisco or Sean McVay's system in Los Angeles - and you've got yourself a quarterback who can keep your offense moving when called upon. His 2025 performance will determine whether teams view him as a priority day two/three target or just another name in a crowded quarterback class.
Written By:
Lennox Tate
How other scouting services rate Miller Moss (Overall Rank)
All Scouts AverageOverall Rank
101.0
All Scouts AveragePosition Rank
9.0
*Percentile Ranking in Player's Position Group (NFL Combine Historical Data): This percentile reflects how a player's specific statistics rank
in comparison to historical performances at the NFL Combine, specifically within their position group. A higher percentile indicates a better performance.
For instance, being in the 90th percentile for a particular stat means the player outperformed 90% of their peers in that category.
*Similarity Percentage: This percentage is calculated based on a comprehensive analysis of various factors, including height, weight, 40-yard dash times, on-field performance statistics, and overall player rating. The analysis is conducted against our database of draft prospects from 2021 to 2023. This similarity score helps in evaluating how closely a current prospect aligns with past prospects. It is important to note, however, that this score reflects similarities based on college production and attributes, and does not account for eventual success or performance in the NFL.
*Similarity Percentage: This percentage is calculated based on a comprehensive analysis of various factors, including height, weight, 40-yard dash times, on-field performance statistics, and overall player rating. The analysis is conducted against our database of draft prospects from 2021 to 2023. This similarity score helps in evaluating how closely a current prospect aligns with past prospects. It is important to note, however, that this score reflects similarities based on college production and attributes, and does not account for eventual success or performance in the NFL.