Duce Robinson WR Florida State | NFL Draft Profile & Scouting Report
Duce Robinson WR Florida State
NFL Draft Profile & Scouting Report
| ROLE: Outside X-Receiver | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Last Updated: 05/14/2025 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Draft Year: 2026 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 40 time: 4.65 seconds (8%*) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Age: 20.4 DOB: 01/19/2005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| ROLE: Outside X-Receiver | |
| Last Updated: 05/14/2025 | |
| Draft Year: 2026 | |
| 40 time: 4.65 seconds (8%*) | |
| Age: 20.4 DOB: 01/19/2005 | |
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| Overall Rating: | 83.0 / 100 | |
|---|---|---|
| Average rating of opposition Defense player has faced | ||
| Defense Rating: |
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75% |
| Click the links below to view how player ranks vs other prospects. | ||
| QB Rating When targeted: | 91.3 | |
| Hands: |
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71% |
| Short Receiving: |
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74% |
| Intermediate Routes: |
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81% |
| Deep Threat: |
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84% |
| Blocking: |
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62% |
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DRAFT PROJECTION:
4th
Overall Rank:
#134
Position rank:
#19
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| College Games: 25 College Snaps: 501 | ||
ESPN RATING: 86/100
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247 RATING: 98/100
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RIVALS RATING: 6.1 (100%)
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| Player Comparison* (Similarity level) | ||
|---|---|---|
| Justyn Ross - Clemson |
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76% |
| Savion Williams - TCU |
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75% |
| Johnny Wilson - Florida State |
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74% |
Draft Profile: Bio
Duce Robinson, the son of former Seminole Dominic Robinson has returned to his father's stomping grounds with two years of eligibility remaining after spending his first two collegiate seasons with the Trojans. At USC, Robinson flashed the game-breaking ability that made him one of the nation's most coveted recruits, hauling in 39 catches for 747 yards and seven touchdowns while averaging a jaw-dropping 19.2 yards per catch as a true freshman and sophomore.Robinson arrived on the college scene as a five-star recruit and the nation's top-ranked tight end prospect out of Pinnacle High School in Arizona, where he dominated to the tune of 84 receptions, 1,614 yards and 14 touchdowns as a senior. His exceptional two-sport talent earned him the rare distinction of being named an Under Armour All-American in both football and baseball, joining elite company with Kyler Murray and AJ Brown as the only athletes to achieve this dual honor. The athletic bloodlines course through his veins – his father played both football and baseball at Florida State and was drafted by the Minnesota Twins, while his mother was a swimmer at Florida.
Robinson is now poised to elevate his game with the Seminoles heading into the 2025 season. His final campaign with the Trojans showed promise as he recorded 23 receptions for 396 yards and five touchdowns, including a season-long 48-yard score against Nebraska. His production steadily increased throughout 2024, with notable performances against Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Maryland that showcased the size-speed combination that has NFL scouts salivating. As he prepares for his junior season in Tallahassee, Robinson has a golden opportunity to transform from tantalizing prospect to polished product before potentially declaring for the 2026 NFL Draft.
Scouting Report: Strengths
- Freakish physical specimen with a 6'6" frame and nearly 6'10" wingspan that creates permanent mismatches against defensive backs who simply don't have the length to contest his catch radius.
- Shows natural, fluid movement skills rarely seen in receivers his size, with the ability to sink his hips and accelerate out of breaks despite his towering frame – plays like a much smaller receiver.
- Demonstrates legitimate vertical threat capability with surprising build-up speed that forces defenders to respect his deep routes, opening up intermediate space for chunk plays.
- Absolute nightmare in the red zone where his basketball-style box-out technique and high-pointing ability turn 50/50 balls into 80/20 propositions in his favor with soft hands that rarely let him down.
- Tracks the deep ball with exceptional vision and body control, showing the baseball outfielder's instincts to adjust to flight patterns and maintain full extension through the catch point.
- Versatile weapon who can align in multiple spots – out wide, in the slot, or even in-line – creating matchup problems that offensive coordinators dream about exploiting against overmatched defenders.
- Shows an innate understanding of zone coverage with a knack for finding soft spots and presenting a massive target for his quarterback, particularly in medium-depth routes between the numbers.
- Brings a level of toughness after the catch that belies his lanky frame, running with surprising anger and showing some dog when defenders attempt to bring him down with arm tackles.
Scouting Report: Weaknesses
- Still needs to add functional playing strength to his lanky frame, as physical corners can redirect him at the line and disrupt timing on his routes when playing press coverage.
- Despite fluid movement skills, isn't a sudden athlete who creates immediate separation – wins more with size and catch radius than with explosive twitch off the line.
- Route tree remains underdeveloped with a heavy reliance on vertical concepts and simple patterns – needs to expand his repertoire with more nuanced option routes and double moves.
- Can struggle with maintaining consistent focus on routine catches, occasionally taking his eyes off the ball before securing it when anticipating contact over the middle.
- Blocking technique is rudimentary at best, showing limited desire to sustain engagement in the run game despite having the frame to dominate smaller defensive backs downfield.
Scouting Report: Summary
Robinson has the 2025 season in Tallahassee to refine his game and answer the lingering questions scouts have about his development. If he capitalizes on this opportunity, he profiles as one of the most intriguing height-weight-speed prospects in the 2026 draft class – a true matchup nightmare who could develop into a primary X-receiver for a creative offensive coordinator willing to design packages around his unique skill set.Teams that operate vertical passing attacks with quarterbacks who aren't afraid to give their receivers opportunities to make contested catches will find Robinson's skill set particularly appealing. The blueprint for deploying a player of his dimensions has been established by receivers like Mike Evans and Harold Carmichael – boundary receivers who turn low-percentage throws into high-percentage completions through sheer physical dominance. Robinson isn't at that level yet, but the raw tools are evident on tape and his next season at Florida State will be crucial in determining how close he can get to that ceiling.
The 2025 season represents a critical development period that will ultimately determine Robinson's draft trajectory. His physical tools scream Day 2 prospect, but technical refinement in route-running and contested catch consistency will be essential to realize that potential. NFL decision-makers will closely monitor whether Florida State deploys him as an oversized receiver or hybrid tight end – though this positional versatility may ultimately enhance his value for teams looking for chess pieces who can align anywhere in the formation and create favorable matchups on every snap.
How other scouting services rate Duce Robinson (Overall Rank)
All Scouts AverageOverall Rank
112.2
All Scouts AveragePosition Rank
17.0
*Percentile Ranking in Player's Position Group (NFL Combine Historical Data): This percentile reflects how a player's specific statistics rank
in comparison to historical performances at the NFL Combine, specifically within their position group. A higher percentile indicates a better performance.
For instance, being in the 90th percentile for a particular stat means the player outperformed 90% of their peers in that category.
*Similarity Percentage: This percentage is calculated based on a comprehensive analysis of various factors, including height, weight, 40-yard dash times, on-field performance statistics, and overall player rating. The analysis is conducted against our database of draft prospects from 2021 to 2023. This similarity score helps in evaluating how closely a current prospect aligns with past prospects. It is important to note, however, that this score reflects similarities based on college production and attributes, and does not account for eventual success or performance in the NFL.
*Similarity Percentage: This percentage is calculated based on a comprehensive analysis of various factors, including height, weight, 40-yard dash times, on-field performance statistics, and overall player rating. The analysis is conducted against our database of draft prospects from 2021 to 2023. This similarity score helps in evaluating how closely a current prospect aligns with past prospects. It is important to note, however, that this score reflects similarities based on college production and attributes, and does not account for eventual success or performance in the NFL.