Duce Robinson WR Florida State |
NFL Draft Profile & Scouting Report
| Jersey: #0 ROLE: Outside X-Receiver | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Last Updated: 11/03/2026 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Draft Year: 2027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| FORTY time: 4.65 seconds (8%*) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Age: 21.9 DOB: 01/19/2005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Jersey: #0 | |
| ROLE: Outside X-Receiver | |
| Last Updated: 11/03/2026 | |
| Draft Year: 2027 | |
| Forty time: 4.65 seconds (8%*) | |
| Age: 21.9 DOB: 01/19/2005 | |
| Overall Rating: |
85.2 / 100
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| Average rating of opposition Defense player has faced | ||
| Defense Rating: |
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82% |
| Click the links below to view how player ranks vs other prospects. | ||
| QB Rating When targeted: | 101.5 | |
| Hands: |
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73% |
| Short Receiving: |
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72% |
| Intermediate Routes: |
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82% |
| Deep Threat: |
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85% |
| Blocking: |
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62% |
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DRAFT PROJECTION:
2nd - Late
Overall Rank:
#51
Position rank:
#7 (WR)
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| College Games: 45 College Snaps: 1675 | ||
ESPN RATING: 86/100
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247 RATING: 98/100
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RIVALS RATING: 6.1 (100%)
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| Player Comparison* (Similarity level) | ||
|---|---|---|
| Malachi Fields - Notre Dame |
|
77% |
| Justyn Ross - Clemson |
|
72% |
| Johnny Wilson - Florida State |
|
70% |
Draft Profile: Bio
Duce Robinson was a five-star recruit and 247Sports' top-ranked tight end in the 2023 class at Pinnacle High School in Phoenix, where he caught 84 passes for 1,614 yards and 14 touchdowns as a senior and played in the Under Armour All-America Game. He also ranked among the top outfielders in Arizona, and Baseball America ranked him a top-125 MLB draft prospect. His father, Dominic, played football at Florida State, and his mother, Mary Beth, swam at Florida.Robinson moved from tight end to receiver at USC and caught 39 passes for 747 yards and seven touchdowns over two seasons, including a 44-yard score in the Holiday Bowl win over Louisville. He transferred to Florida State in December 2024 and caught 56 passes for 1,081 yards and six touchdowns in 2025, the program's first 1,000-yard receiver since 2019. He had 173 yards and two scores against East Texas A&M and nine catches for 147 yards against Virginia, and he was a first-team All-ACC pick with the most votes of any player and a Biletnikoff Award semifinalist.
Robinson returned for 2026, saying he did not want to leave after the season the team had. He caught six passes for 135 yards at Alabama and five for 113 yards and two touchdowns at Miami, and he has 24 catches for 438 yards and four touchdowns for a 3-5 team. Mike Norvell has called him a player the team counts on in a very high capacity.
Scouting Report: Strengths
- Big, long target who shields the ball and wins at the catch point
- Posted 1,081 receiving yards in 2025, Florida State's first 1,000-yard season since 2019
- Won 18 of 34 contested targets in 2025
- Averages more than 18 yards a catch this season as a downfield threat
- Reliable hands, with two drops in both 2025 and 2026
- First-team All-ACC pick in 2025 with the most votes of any player
Scouting Report: Weaknesses
- Very slow timed speed, so his separation comes from size rather than burst
- Contested success has fallen, with three wins on 14 chances this season
- Volume has dropped, with 24 catches in eight games
- Louisville held him to two catches for 14 yards on eight targets
Scouting Report: Summary
Robinson is a big, long boundary receiver who treats the catch point like a rebound, using his frame to shield defenders and pluck the ball at its highest point. He became Florida State's first 1,000-yard receiver since 2019 in 2025, winning 18 of 34 contested targets and averaging more than 19 yards a catch, and he dropped only two passes. His background as a top tight end recruit and a baseball prospect shows in his hands and body control.His 2026 production has come in spurts on a struggling team. He caught six passes for 135 yards at Alabama and five for 113 yards and two touchdowns at Miami, and he is again averaging more than 18 yards a catch. But Florida State is 3-5, and his volume has dropped to 24 catches in eight games, with quiet games against SMU, Virginia and Louisville, where he caught two of eight targets.
However, speed is the clear limiter. His timed speed is near the bottom of the position, so he builds to top gear rather than exploding off the line, and corners can sit on his routes. His contested success has also fallen this season, with three wins on 14 chances, and he has to win more of those balls to make up for the lack of separation. Teams will want to see that his production can hold up without perfect quarterback play. He also has two drops this season.
Overall, Robinson fits a timing offense that wants a big-bodied target on the boundary, on third down and in the red zone. He projects as a second-round receiver with the floor of a possession target and a starting X ceiling if his contested-catch form from 2025 returns. His 2025 film, with five 120-yard games, is the clearest picture of what he can be when the offense works around him.
How other scouting services rate Duce Robinson (Overall Rank)
All Scouts AverageOverall Rank
70.2
All Scouts AveragePosition Rank
11.0
*Percentile Ranking in Player's Position Group (NFL Combine Historical Data): This percentile reflects how a player's specific statistics rank
in comparison to historical performances at the NFL Combine, specifically within their position group. A higher percentile indicates a better performance.
For instance, being in the 90th percentile for a particular stat means the player outperformed 90% of their peers in that category.
*Similarity Percentage: This percentage is calculated based on a comprehensive analysis of various factors, including height, weight, 40-yard dash times, on-field performance statistics, and overall player rating. The analysis is conducted against our database of draft prospects from 2021 to 2023. This similarity score helps in evaluating how closely a current prospect aligns with past prospects. It is important to note, however, that this score reflects similarities based on college production and attributes, and does not account for eventual success or performance in the NFL.
*Similarity Percentage: This percentage is calculated based on a comprehensive analysis of various factors, including height, weight, 40-yard dash times, on-field performance statistics, and overall player rating. The analysis is conducted against our database of draft prospects from 2021 to 2023. This similarity score helps in evaluating how closely a current prospect aligns with past prospects. It is important to note, however, that this score reflects similarities based on college production and attributes, and does not account for eventual success or performance in the NFL.