Andrew Armstrong WR Arkansas | NFL Draft Profile & Scouting Report
Andrew Armstrong WR Arkansas
NFL Draft Profile & Scouting Report
| ROLE: Outside X-Receiver | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Last Updated: 03/19/2025 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Draft Year: 2025 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 40 time: 4.51 seconds (47%*) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| ROLE: Outside X-Receiver | |
| Last Updated: 03/19/2025 | |
| Draft Year: 2025 | |
| 40 time: 4.51 seconds (47%*) | |
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SHARE THIS PROFILE:
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| Overall Rating: | 75.0 / 100 | |
|---|---|---|
| Average rating of opposition Defense player has faced | ||
| Defense Rating: |
|
75% |
| Click the links below to view how player ranks vs other prospects. | ||
| QB Rating When targeted: | 88.6 | |
| Hands: |
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75% |
| Short Receiving: |
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75% |
| Intermediate Routes: |
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75% |
| Deep Threat: |
|
75% |
| Blocking: |
|
75% |
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DRAFT PROJECTION:
UDFA
Overall Rank:
#287
Position rank:
#40
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| College Games: 34 College Snaps: 2067 | ||
| Player Comparison* (Similarity level) | ||
|---|---|---|
| Dai'Jean Dixon - Nicholls |
|
78% |
| Andrei Iosivas - Princeton |
|
78% |
| Xavier Hutchinson - Iowa State |
|
75% |
Draft Profile: Bio
Dallas native Andrew Armstrong took the long road to NFL prospect status, beginning his collegiate journey at Texas A&M-Commerce before transferring to Arkansas for his final two seasons. The 6'4", 202-pound wideout showed flashes at the FCS level, hauling in 62 catches for 1,020 yards and 13 touchdowns in his final season at Commerce before making the leap to SEC competition. Armstrong's production didn't waver against stiffer competition, as he immediately established himself as the Razorbacks' top target in 2023 with team-leading marks in receptions (56), yards (764), and touchdowns (5).Armstrong's development continued in 2024, where he etched his name in Arkansas history by becoming just the fifth Razorback receiver to eclipse 1,000 yards in a single season. His senior campaign showcased remarkable consistency, as he maintained a 39-game reception streak and posted five 100-yard performances, including a career-best 10-catch, 164-yard explosion against Oklahoma State. While touchdown production dipped (just one score in 2024), Armstrong's ability to win at the catch point and dominate in the intermediate areas of the field remained constant hallmarks of his game.
The former Bishop Dunne High School standout earned his way onto the 2024 Biletnikoff Award Watch List and garnered Fourth-Team All-SEC honors (Phil Steele) in 2023. Armstrong's journey from lightly-recruited high school prospect to productive SEC receiver demonstrates the developmental arc that has NFL scouts intrigued about his potential at the next level, despite some athletic limitations that appeared during pre-draft testing.
Scouting Report: Strengths
- Imposing catch radius with vice-grip hands that pluck the ball away from his frame - consistently wins in contested situations where smaller corners can't match his length.
- Plays with controlled physicality at the catch point, using his 6'4" frame to wall off defenders and create his own space on in-breaking routes.
- Shows impressive ability to track the ball in flight, adjusting his body and maintaining concentration through contact on deep throws.
- Creates more after the catch than his testing numbers suggest - runs with surprising anger and shows slipperiness in the open field to make first tackler miss.
- Reliable chain-mover who delivered 34 first-down conversions in 2023 - quarterback's best friend on third downs and scramble drills.
- Displays legitimate red zone potential with his size and jumping ability - can elevate over defenders and secure jump balls in tight windows.
- Brings competitive toughness as a blocker, willing to stick his nose in and create lanes - shows more effort than technical refinement but attitude is there.
- Proved his production was no fluke against SEC competition - actually improved his consistency and reliability against top-tier defensive backs.
Scouting Report: Weaknesses
- Lacks the explosive first-step quickness to threaten corners vertically - 4.51 forty time shows up on tape with limited ability to stack defenders on go routes.
- Route running lacks the crisp tempo changes needed to create separation - tends to telegraph breaks by gathering before his cuts.
- Tight in the hips and shows mechanical lateral movement, limiting his ability to make sharp cuts and explode through route transitions.
- Press releases need significant refinement - struggles to defeat quick-handed corners who can disrupt his timing at the line of scrimmage.
- Disappearing touchdown production in 2024 (just one score) raises questions about his ability to finish drives despite his physical tools.
Scouting Report: Summary
When the ball's in the air, Armstrong shows he belongs in an NFL receiver room. His success in the intermediate passing game jumps off the tape, where he consistently makes tough grabs with defenders draped all over him. What he lacks in route separation, he compensates for with body positioning and those basketball-like box-out skills. Offenses that emphasize high-point opportunities and contested catches over creating space through pure athleticism will maximize his impact.The transition to NFL speed presents genuine challenges for Armstrong. His game needs technical refinement, particularly in press releases and route tempo. While his size-speed combination won't overwhelm pro corners, his natural ball skills and catch radius give him legitimate upside as a boundary receiver who can contribute on third downs and in the red zone. His production against SEC competition demonstrates he's not just a big body - there's real receiver skill underneath the raw tools.
Watch Armstrong develop into a reliable complementary option who creates matchup problems in specific situations. His floor appears to be a developmental practice squad receiver with special teams contributions, while his ceiling could reach rotational boundary target status with situational starter upside. The tape shows a player whose game is built more on winning at the catch point than creating separation - a playing style that requires the right offensive system to truly flourish. His development track suggests patience will be required, but his unique traits make him worth the investment.
Andrew Armstrong percentiles vs other Wide Receivers (NFL Combine historically - higher value represents better perfomance)
How other scouting services rate Andrew Armstrong (Overall Rank)
All Scouts AverageOverall Rank
296.0
All Scouts AveragePosition Rank
51.0
*Percentile Ranking in Player's Position Group (NFL Combine Historical Data): This percentile reflects how a player's specific statistics rank
in comparison to historical performances at the NFL Combine, specifically within their position group. A higher percentile indicates a better performance.
For instance, being in the 90th percentile for a particular stat means the player outperformed 90% of their peers in that category.
*Similarity Percentage: This percentage is calculated based on a comprehensive analysis of various factors, including height, weight, 40-yard dash times, on-field performance statistics, and overall player rating. The analysis is conducted against our database of draft prospects from 2021 to 2023. This similarity score helps in evaluating how closely a current prospect aligns with past prospects. It is important to note, however, that this score reflects similarities based on college production and attributes, and does not account for eventual success or performance in the NFL.
*Similarity Percentage: This percentage is calculated based on a comprehensive analysis of various factors, including height, weight, 40-yard dash times, on-field performance statistics, and overall player rating. The analysis is conducted against our database of draft prospects from 2021 to 2023. This similarity score helps in evaluating how closely a current prospect aligns with past prospects. It is important to note, however, that this score reflects similarities based on college production and attributes, and does not account for eventual success or performance in the NFL.