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NFL Draft Day- A High-Risk, High-Reward Gamble
Photo: Penn State linebacker Abdul Carter (11) pretends to conduct the Blue Band as they play the alma mater following a White Out football game against Iowa Saturday, Sept. 23, 2023, in State College, Pa. The Nittany Lions shut out the Hawkeyes, 31-0.

NFL Draft Day- A High-Risk, High-Reward Gamble

The NFL Draft is one of the most anticipated events in professional sports. It is a day when football teams attempt to reshape their futures by selecting the next generation of stars.

Beneath the excitement lies a reality that every team must face: each pick is a gamble. In much the same way, playing free no deposit spins in Canada carries that same sense of chance. Just as teams hope to discover standout players, players using free spins anticipate rewarding outcomes, adding to the thrill of both experiences.

But why is the draft such a gamble? In theory, selecting the best college talent seems easy. However, the path from being a standout college athlete to becoming a successful NFL player is filled with uncertainty, making each pick a roll of the dice.

The High-Risk Nature of the NFL Draft

While many teams do background checks before recruiting athletes during the NFL Draft, there is no 100% certainty with any choice they make during the draft. In fact, many teams have made the first pick during the draft and still end up with it being the wrong choice.

If you have ever wondered why that player everyone was in a rush to pick ended up being a mistake for your team, we have some examples below, and the explanations underneath will shed more light.

  • Kevin White (2015): He was drafted by the Chicago Bears in 1st round as the 7th Overall, but injuries plagued his career. He missed his entire rookie season and struggled to stay fit, playing only 14 games in four seasons with minimal impact.
  • Robert Griffin III (2012): He was drafted by the then Washington Football Team (now Commanders) in the first round as the 2nd overall. However, a series of knee injuries and a declining relationship with the coaching staff led to his career’s decline. He never returned to his rookie form.
  • Sam Bradford (2010): He was drafted as the 1st overall in the first round by the St. Louis Rams, but knee injuries significantly hampered his career. While he had moments of success, his inability to stay fit made him a disappointing pick for the Rams.

Uncertainty of Player Development

One significant consideration is that players’ college performance doesn’t always translate to their development in the NFL. The NFL and college football have an immense skill gap that many players may find challenging to close. Also, players are in a completely new environment that is not as favourable or cushioning as their college environment, making it harder for some to adjust.

In fact, some players are only doing so well because of the support they get from their college teammates, their school, the community, or even the nurturing of their coach. Leaving all these behind will surely affect them. The transition from college football into playing in the league throws many players off-kilter, affecting their development.

Injuries and Off-Field Issues

The risk of injury is another big variable that can make a draft that seems to be the best decision to become a nightmare. Many players develop injuries after their promotion to the NFL, preventing the team from realizing the potential for which they drafted them. In fact, some players entered the NFL with a known injury history that was previously manageable, but things changed eventually.

Apart from physical injuries, mental health issues and the stress of coping can significantly affect a player’s performance, making them under-deliver. Also, some players have other problems like poor work ethics, personal issues, or legal troubles that can affect them on the big stage.

Financial Investment and Salary Cap Impact

High draft picks come with huge financial commitments for the team. Many teams allocate a significant portion of their salary cap to these picks, putting the burden of performing up to these commitments on the players. Therefore, many teams can be disappointed if the players do not meet the financial commitments they made to them.

Pressure to Get It Right

Many players have high expectations due to their performances beforehand. With these expectations on them, they struggle to meet or even exceed them. For instance, imagine a star player in his college days finding out he is only one of the good ones, not even the best. This may make them feel stressed or kill their morale totally.

The Reward: The Possible Gains From NFL Draft Day

Making good choices at the NFL Draft can be life-changing for a team. In fact, we have seen examples of good NFL picks being the turning point for teams over the years. Below are some notable impacts of the NFL Draft on football teams.

Securing the Future

Many teams build around their new picks, leaving the future to the youngsters. It is no wonder that new drafts contribute immensely to the franchise’s image. Newly drafted players stay with the team for enough time to develop them and build the team around them. This can help shape the team’s future and give them solid standing from miles away.

Immediate Impact on Team Performance

One way that teams usually improve their performance immediately is by drafting high-value picks. The impact of great picks immediately improving a team’s performance is also why the league enables low-performing leagues to first access talents that can change their team’s trajectory.

Cost-Effective Talent

Success in the NFL Draft requires more than luck; it demands patience, strategy, and long-term vision. Teams must evaluate their roster needs, weigh the strengths and weaknesses of the players available, and think carefully about how each pick fits into their broader plans for the future. The table below reveals some of the most monumental picks from the NFL Draft.

Year

Player Name

Team

Impacts

2018

Josh Allen

Buffalo Bills

Drafted 7th overall, Allen transformed the Bills into perennial contenders with deep playoff runs and division titles.

2017

Patrick Mahomes

Kansas City Chiefs

Drafted 10th overall, Mahomes revolutionized the Chiefs’ offence, leading to multiple AFC Championships and two Super Bowl victories (as of 2023).

2017

George Kittle

San Francisco 49ers

A 5th-round pick, Kittle became an elite tight end, transforming the 49ers’ offence and helping them reach Super Bowl LIV.

2016

Derrick Henry

Tennessee Titans

Selected in the 2nd round, Henry became one of the NFL’s most dominant running backs, leading the Titans to consistent playoff appearances.

Creating Trade Assets

The biggest misconception is that a valuable pick is only essential for playing for the team. Instead, they can become valuable trade assets. This makes it easy for the team to trade such players to generate funds.

Conclusion

The anticipation and adrenaline of the NFL Draft day are no joke; it is one of the most important days in American Football. On these days, countless potentials from various American colleges will realize their dreams of becoming professionals.

Teams also have the chance to select fresh talents on which they can build their team for many years. So, all hands are usually on the deck, and everyone has high anticipation. However, not all draft decisions meet the required expectations. There are always two sides to a coin; draft picks can go either way.